Turkey Fact Sheet - GDP and Employment

   Kaan Anlar

   In the third quarter of 2008, Real (Inflation Adjusted) GDP increased up by
only 0.5% compared to a year ago according to data from the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK).
Economic growth was the slowest it had been since the first quarter of 2002.
In 2001 financial crisis, the last 3 quarters showed negative growth and Turkish
economy contracted by  %-6.35, %-6,51, and %-9,85 for straight 3 quarters
(compared to a year ago). The %0.32 expansion on first quarter of 2002 was
the beginning of a four year run in which the growth rate was barely under %6.0.

The economic crisis showed its effects on the Turkish economy toughly in the
third quarter. Even it was said that the effects of the global crisis will be minor
and limited by the Justice and Development (AK) Party, the falling export demand
(and Industrial Production) put a heavy toll on Turkish economy.
  
                  
                                
                         
Industrial Production fell by %-8.46 on October year on year (YoY), the biggest
fall since November 2001. That was the 3rd straight month with negative growth.
Following Industrial Production drop, unemployment rate went above %10.0 on
September (%10.30) after August's rate of %9.80. Last year's unemployment rate
on September was %9.3.
According to Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) on September 2008 the
unemployment rate excluding farm /agricultural increased to %13.3.

Unemployed on September 2008 was:
'.8 seeking job for year or longer

%70.6 male
%55.3 with less than high school education
%83.6 has an earlier work experience

Employed on September 2008 was:
% 60.6 worrks in companies with total of 9 or less employmees
%72.9 male
`.7 with less than high school education   

      

    

 

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  • 12/29/2008 2:17 PM Nesrin wrote:
    Did I miss part of the information? It talks about a sentence or two about 2001 then a few words about 2008. Is the meat of the information somewhere else or am I expecting too much?
    Nesrin Asya
    Reply to this
    1. 12/30/2008 11:05 PM Kaan wrote:
      Actually the article (the fact sheet) is all about 2008 since it is too late to talk about 2001 but as you know economics is all about comparison and I wanted to point the effects of the global crisis to our economy by comparing it to data on 2001 and 2002. It appears that the global crisis will hit Turkey and we will also pay the toll as others. It is more obvious when the effects we are experiencing are very similar to the ones in 2001. I added employment data which I found very interested and very related to Industrial Production. It is hard to analyse the pieces without seeing the big picture. As one of my professors told me, all the economists end their sentences with "on the other hand" that's why you don't see ecomists missing a hand...
      Reply to this

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